Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-04
GOOGL
278 historical chart-shape analogs of GOOGL as of 2026-06-04, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.
Consensus
0.14
weak
5d median
-0.59%
hit-rate 45%
5d IQR
[-5.53%, +3.86%]
middle 50%
Conformal 80%
[-13.38%, +10.14%]
p10–p90
10-day forward distribution
Median
-1.84%
IQR
[-9.08%, +3.58%]
Hit-rate
40%
Top 5-day features
yield_curve_state=flat(negative)
importance 1.28
vix(positive)
importance 1.02
macro_state=bullish(positive)
importance 0.85
Historical playbook
300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.
Outcome modes
Uptrend (14% of pool)
middle 50%: -1.8% to +8.5%
+6.3%
66% win
Smooth sideways (69% of pool)
middle 50%: -4.3% to +3.2%
-0.5%
46% win
Downtrend (12% of pool)
middle 50%: -16.8% to -2.9%
-7.8%
20% win
Was this useful?
How to read this
Consensus 0.14 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into GOOGL.
Live cohort
This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:
Open GOOGL in Chart Library →Snapshot built at 2026-06-05T04:30:30.346821+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (5132ms retrieval at build time).