Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-04

META

282 historical chart-shape analogs of META as of 2026-06-04, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.19

weak

5d median

-0.66%

hit-rate 44%

5d IQR

[-4.91%, +4.06%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-8.24%, +9.81%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

-1.89%

IQR

[-6.83%, +5.39%]

Hit-rate

40%

Top 5-day features

volume_acceleration_5d(negative)

importance 1.01

hy_oas(positive)

importance 1.00

pct_off_52w_low(positive)

importance 0.95

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 4 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: -3.1% to +10.8%

61 setups

+3.8%

68% win

Smooth sideways

middle 50%: -4.6% to +3.7%

161 setups

-0.5%

43% win

Downtrend

middle 50%: -6.5% to +0.7%

65 setups

-3.6%

25% win

Sharp downtrend

middle 50%: -27.0% to -15.1%

3 setups

-21.1%

0% win

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How to read this

Consensus 0.19 is weak — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, macro catalyst, or a price move that strengthens the consensus) before sizing into META.

Live cohort

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:

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Snapshot built at 2026-06-05T04:30:36.757182+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (6072ms retrieval at build time).