Cohort snapshot · 2026-06-04

TSLA

287 historical chart-shape analogs of TSLA as of 2026-06-04, plus what they did over the next 1, 5, and 10 trading days. No prediction — the empirical distribution.

Consensus

0.50

moderate

5d median

+0.63%

hit-rate 61%

5d IQR

[-1.86%, +3.40%]

middle 50%

Conformal 80%

[-4.90%, +5.90%]

p10–p90

10-day forward distribution

Median

+1.14%

IQR

[-3.48%, +5.63%]

Hit-rate

58%

Top 5-day features

vrp(negative)

importance 1.88

momentum_5d(negative)

importance 1.42

broke_20d_range_high=false(negative)

importance 1.24

Historical playbook

300 analogs split into outcome modes by what they actually did over the next 5 days. Not a prediction — a distribution.

Outcome modes

300 analogs · 3 clusters · 5-day return

Uptrend

middle 50%: -2.1% to +8.8%

12 setups

+2.9%

67% win

Smooth sideways (+0.7%)

middle 50%: -2.4% to +6.2%

38 setups

+0.7%

63% win

Smooth sideways (+0.3%)

middle 50%: -2.1% to +1.6%

36 setups

+0.3%

53% win

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How to read this

Consensus 0.50 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. The conformal 80% band [-4.90%, +5.90%] is your defined-risk envelope. Modest sizing.

Live cohort

This snapshot is built daily. For the live retrieval against the freshest bar, distribution chart, and per-anchor feature attribution:

Open TSLA in Chart Library →

Snapshot built at 2026-06-05T04:30:45.423242+00:00. Refreshed daily. Source: chartlibrary.io cohort_analyze API (2384ms retrieval at build time).