MSTR today looks like CRSP did in Mar 2020
MSTR's chart over the last 30 trading days is a 88% shape match for CRSP in Mar 2020 — its closest historical analog across a decade of market data. In the 15 trading days after that point, CRSP went +25%.
The forward path is CRSP's actual history after that date — not a prediction for MSTR. A close shape match is a starting point for research, not a signal. Different stocks with similar charts can do very different things next.
How we find the twin
We embed MSTR's recent daily chart into a 256-dimension shape vector and search millions of historical chart windows for the nearest match by shape, then re-score the finalists on the exact window shown so the lines actually overlap. The match is amplitude-aware, so it's a real twin — not just "both went up."
See MSTR's full cohort of historical analogs — the distribution of what they all did next, with calibrated confidence:
MSTR cohort →Open in Chart Library