Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on INTC anchored at 2026-06-05 returned 272 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.43. The 5-day forward median is +0.93% with IQR [-2.23%, +4.24%] and hit-rate 57%. The 10-day median is +2.01%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-4.37%, +8.28%].
- n=272, 5d median +0.93%, IQR [-2.23%, +4.24%]
- Hit-rate: 57%
- Cohort consensus: 0.43
- Top 5d feature: cross_sectional_momentum_rank (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is cross_sectional_momentum_rank with positive direction (importance 0.96). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on INTC today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.43 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-4.37%, +8.28%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.