MDB Cohort Snapshot 2026-06-05: Consensus 0.42, Bullish Bias

Today's Cohort

The live cohort_analyze pull on MDB anchored at 2026-06-05 returned 270 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.42. The 5-day forward median is +1.03% with IQR [-2.55%, +4.24%] and hit-rate 58%. The 10-day median is +1.67%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-6.61%, +8.81%].

• n=270, 5d median +1.03%, IQR [-2.55%, +4.24%]
• Hit-rate: 58%
• Cohort consensus: 0.42
• Top 5d feature: days_since_earnings (positive direction)

Dominant Feature

The dominant 5-day feature is days_since_earnings with positive direction (importance 0.98). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on MDB today — independent of any specific catalyst.

How To Read The Consensus

Consensus 0.42 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-6.61%, +8.81%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.