Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on PLTR anchored at 2026-05-14 returned 90 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.34. The 5-day forward median is -1.49% with IQR [-3.96%, +1.25%] and hit-rate 37%. The 10-day median is -1.77%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-7.49%, +4.76%].
- n=90, 5d median -1.49%, IQR [-3.96%, +1.25%]
- Hit-rate: 37%
- Cohort consensus: 0.34
- Top 5d feature: relative_volume (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is relative_volume with positive direction (importance 1.11). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on PLTR today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.34 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-7.49%, +4.76%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.